YORUBA WILL VOTE APC, THE YARDUA EFFECT CONSIDERED?

Icheoku says the Oduduwa nation would be voting for the APC come this February 14, 2015 and for a single strategic reason. Their calculation is simply that another YarAdua-windfall is once again in the offing and beckoning in the person of sick and old Muhammadu Buhari?  This would give them another quick shot at the presidency of Nigeria and so soon after their first rejected son had served their regions eight years two terms presidency. According to their calculation, since Jonathan became president by default of Umaru Yar'Adua's demise and since the vice president usually steps in to finish whatever is left of the term of such departed president, their "best president Nigeria never had" could eventually materialize by proxy of Awolowo's son in-law, APC vice presidential candidate Yemi Osinbanjo? 
This conspiracy theory seems to take flight because Muhammadu Buhari is advanced in age and his health is rumored not to be quite stellar; and given that the Ota Deity is always up to no good; his present support for the Buhari/Osibanjo APC ticket is suspect and may have something to do with this fast developing Oduduwa concert. Even Mr Kongi himself, Wole Soyinka who had previously denounced Muhammadu Buhari in his "Crimes of Buhari" treatise, has now denied ever endorsing any one and you ask yourself whether he also wants to withdraw his earlier criticism of Buhari as being unfit for and undeserving of Nigerian presidency? Icheoku says the answer could be found in the  ever unwavering "kpalakpo" camaraderie of the Yorubas in Yorubaland. Icheoku wishes that Ndigbo could somehow emulate this Yoruba common purpose on issues involving their race in Nigeria. 
Apparently the people of the Southwest has agreed amongst themselves that the possibility of another presidency exist with Buhari's and therefore they must act as one to take it if it avails itself. Obasanjo is in agreement with Bola Tinubu on this and it seems that Wole Soyinka has also bought into this agenda with his tactical silence on the forthcoming election; especially with his none endorsement of Jonathan and lack of criticizing Buhari as he normally does. Icheoku says it is Politics 101 and in Nigeria, no one plays it better than the sons and daughters of Oduduwa, regardless of what those Miyetti Allah would like to otherwise believe or think about themselves. Icheoku sometimes envies those Yoruba people because they usually know what they want, they understand the name of the game and how to play it and together they go as a force of one pursuing it and even if it means cheating and cunning to get it done, they do get it done. Unfortunately, Ndigbo do not believe in a force of one and individually shout themselves hoarse, which make other peoples of Nigeria to laugh them off as needless nuisance, not serious people and never goal directed, 
Icheoku is emphatic that a conspiracy of no mean magnitude against Jonathan is fast brewing in the Southwestern Nigeria which will see them voting massively for APC Buhari/Osibanjo ticket to achieve their objective and at worse they will have a vice president. Otherwise why has Adeboye not laid his magical hand on Jonathan with just few short weeks to the election? Where are the Ebenezar Babatopes, Olugbenga Daniel and other notable Yoruba bomb throwers vociferously campaigning for a Jonathan's second term? Oba of Lagos Akiolu recently told Jonathan to his face in his palace that PDP cannot win Lagos State and for emphasis said that he has already presented APC candidate Ambode governorship petition before Allah when he went on pilgrimage to Mecca. Icheoku adds that the said pilgrimage took place long before even Ambode was formally anointed as the candidate. 
When you add the developing scenario in the Southwest with other Jonathan's fault lines going into election 2015, the only inferable conclusion is that Jonathan 2015 adventure is emitting very negative pulses. The road map to get there is getting fuzzier and the route of travel fast shrinking to nearly a footpath now with all these unforeseen developments. So with the two most populous Lagos and Kano States gone Buhari, alongside possibly the entire North (West, Central and East) and likely Edo and Rivers State, the third largest voting bloc in the country also gone Buhari, then the calculation of how to win a second term is almost becoming a mathematical impossibility. A look into the Ouija board also says things are not too kosher for Team Jonathan and his campaign 2015. 
Remember that the Emir of Kano as well as Governor Kwankwaso have sworn never to allow Jonathan win their state and for effect, Team Jonathan campaign team is technically banned in Kano as no Jonathan's painted vehicles dare ply the roads in Kano for fear of being vandalized. Truth be spoken; and although it is very painful to hear but just do the math and you will agree that the math to Aso Rock is not adding up. A fragmented Southsouth and a grudging Southeast would not be enough to keep Jonathan inside Aso Rock without more; and that more or where that more will come from is what is still not visible, at least not from Icheoku's observation post. But in any event If you see anything different, please holler!