ICHEOKU says the Western World lost its sting when Russia's Vladimir Putin annexed Ukrainian Crimea in 2014 without even firing a shot, while they stood aloof and did nothing in response. They talked and they barked but Putin stood his ground. More than six years later, Putin continues to consolidate his hold on Crimea, having formally annexed it. With every day that passes by, it is increasingly becoming more difficult that he will ever give Crimea back to Ukraine.
Russia was emboldened to make the move on Crimea after it successfully seized two Georgian cities of Ossetia and Abkhazia in 2008 without the West doing anything about it. Russia figured that since it could so easily have its way in Georgia why not extend the same maneuver in Ukraine and recover Crimea and it again, successfully took Crimea and again, the West stood by and did nothing about it. This is the impetus driving the current quest by China to recover its long claimed territories of Hong Hong and Taiwan. China probably concluded that if Russia can do it, so could China; and it is NOW one down with Hong Kong and one to soon go with Taiwan.
China was a very studious student of the developments therein Ossetia, Abkhazia and Crimea and having graduated, is now using the same Russian tactical template to prosecute its own territorial grabs. Like Russia did with its neighbors, China does not mind muscling her weaker neighbors by swallowing them into its huge bowels. China is showing its own zero tolerance as it begins to fully implement its own agenda in South Asia, using the same tactic which worked for Vladimir Putin in his Russia's takeover of Ossetia, Abkhazia and Crimea. Russia has no respect for international order on respect of territorial boundaries and so is China; and you wonder why the world still accommodates the two countries in world organizations and bodies that requires countries to play by the rule. If they won't conform by the guiding tenets of such bodies, why have them as part of the membership.
ICHEOKU says after Hong Kong is completely and fully ossified into China, the next move by China will be to also swallow Taiwan. The weakened and frightened West did nothing to forcefully state their ground in opposition on Hong Kong and so will they do nothing when eventually China rolls up Taiwan. It is not a matter of if China will takeover Taiwan, but when it will happen. China will eventually turn the turrets of battle to Taiwan and it will be very swift. Look at the ease with which those Hong Kongites quickly surrendered, just a law, and they folded like an umbrella. Why not continue to resist and let China lock up the 7.5 million of them for flying their Hong Kong flag. But fear of life in prison is real and it overwhelmed their resistance and will to fight on. So why would the West even go to their rescue when they have displayed such cowardice. It might not be worth the trouble one may say.
The West lost its appetite to fight because political correctness has neutered Europe and without many macho men now left, the sissies over there would rather surrender than firm their backs and fight, especially a costly long drawn out war with either China or even Russia. They will not spend blood and treasure to stipulate their opposition to the politically charged development in Hong Kong. A matter made worse because once China gets away with Hong Kong, their next move will be on Taiwan and when the time comes, they will roll into Taipei, no questions asked nor entertained or answered. Britain wants to evacuate more than half of the people in Hong Kong and you wonder whether British people who spearheaded Brexit because of threat to their population will now agree for their government to saturate their country with Chinese Hong Kongites. Evacuation should not have been the first move; rather recall of ambassador and threat of breaking off diplomatic relationship.
Europe is so weak and plagued by lack of courage that were Russia to invade them now, they will seek a peaceful surrender rather than engage militarily. Their weakness reeks and the sharks of Russia and China smell it and are prowling the waters looking for any opportunity to to devour them. The two countries are not afraid, they are no longer intimidated by the West and they are prepared to do battle to affirm their position, aware that Europe is no longer what it once was and used to be. Rather they have become the scarecrow, tin man and the frightened lion combined due to a veer to sissy cultural change that admits only make beliefs and not real tangibles. Europe have lost the will to fight for causes dear to them and it will someday hurt them badly, when America fully disengages from them and a Europe tethering on the edge of tip over is not good for America.
America on the other hand is tired of being the policeman and the fighting force for the good of the world, especially a world that hardly appreciates what America sacrifices in order to keep them safe and going forward. But currently, their is no interest or appetite in America to fight China militarily over Hong Kong, at least not for now. Moreso, majority of Americans will not support a military campaign in Asia now as there is nothing for them over there worth risking lives and resources on. So it is likely that America will be prepared to let Hong Kong go and possibly do the same with Taiwan if Europe is not ready to substantially support such a fight. But South Korea and Japan will definitely be a no compromise for America as there will be compelling interest to engage. It is unfortunate the decadence of Europe as it has retreated into a shell and with it, the new powers of China and Russia can do with them however they please. So long Hong Kong and Taiwan get ready.
No comments:
Post a Comment